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Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning November 2nd, 2020
Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning November 2nd, 2020.
Investors are hoping for a clear presidential and Senate election outcome to end the sell-off - (Source)
The best hope for markets in the week ahead is that there is a clear cut winner in Tuesday’s presidential election.
The election looms large as the biggest wild card risk for markets, and there is a real concern that no outcome could lead to a period of uncertainty and turbulence for markets and the economy. On the other hand, some strategists say a clear winner and quick concession by the other candidate could lead to a relief rally. Also a worry is that Senate elections could be unresolved, which means it may not be known which party holds the majority.
“If there’s no clear winner, it will be negative for risk assets...The market is really worried about not having clarity after the election. They’re worried about it dragging out four weeks as the results are contested,” said Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. rates strategy at BMO. “The overall landscape is not a political one. It’s that we’re in a pandemic, and we don’t want an uncertain election outcome that leaves the country concerned about leadership.”
Stocks closed out October on a sour note, losing about 6% for the week, the worst performance since March, when the pandemic first shut down the economy. Strategists say the coronavirus is again worrying the market, as major European countries go into partial lockdowns, and the U.S. faces record numbers of new cases.
Lyngen said he does not expect the markets to react as much if it’s only the fate of the Senate that is undetermined. But that is still very important, and if it’s not clear which party has a majority for days or even weeks, that would cast doubt on the ability of whichever candidate wins the presidency to pursue their policy agenda.
Senate key for stimulusThe Senate is also key to how much money will be poured into the economy to help battle the impact of the virus. For instance, if former Vice President Joe Biden wins the White House, but Democrats do not reclaim the Senate, he will likely have to compromise on a smaller stimulus package and would not be able to implement tax increases. If President Donald Trump is re-elected and faces a newly Democratic Senate alongside the Democratic House, he will likely face push back on many issues though they may agree on a large stimulus package.
As of Friday, Biden was leading Trump in the polls by 7.8 percentage points in the RealClearPolitics average of major polls. Democrats also appear likely to take the Senate, but some races are very tight.
Bank of America strategists note that the Senate races are close with a few seats that could flip. Seven Republican seats are currently rated as toss-ups with four in battleground states, where they could be lost if there’s a strong Democratic surge. There could also be a clear majority, but still uncertainty in terms of final makeup.
“The overall composition of the Senate is unlikely to be determined until sometime in January due to election rules in Georgia which stipulates the race goes to a run off if no candidates garners 50% majority in the general election and currently no candidate is projected” to hit that threshold, the BofA strategists wrote.
The strategists say the timing of the results is unclear due to early voting but high volumes of mail-in ballots, which cannot be counted in some states until election day.
“A short delay in the election result should have a trivial impact on the economy but a multi-week contested election could drag down H1 GDP growth by 0.5-1.0 pp,” according to BofA strategists. “Once there is a winner, the focus turns to stimulus.”
Watch bond yieldsThat could mean bond yields will continue their move higher in the coming week. Yields have been rising on the idea that there will be some kind of stimulus after the election, and it will mean more U.S. debt and higher interest rates.
“We expect rates to shift higher by 5 to 25 bps after the election outcome is known due to expectations for fiscal stimulus and improved growth prospects,” the BofA strategists wrote. The 10-year Treasury yield was at 0.86% Friday.
However, if the election outcome is not known for awhile, the strategists said a contested outcome could push the 10-year yield materially lower.
If there is a contested election, the strategist expect stocks to trade lower, but it would be a buying opportunity since the market typically recovers from headline-related losses within six months.
“We expect a clear outcome to be neutral to positive for the market in the near term, except under a Biden win with a split Congress, which could potentially lead to continued gridlock in fiscal stimulus talks,” the BofA strategists added.
Besides the election, there is also a Fed meeting, expected to end Thursday with no new announcements though it is likely the Fed will emphasize it will keep policy easy for a long time as the economy heals. The October employment report is expected on Friday and is expected to show continued job gains, after September’s 661,000 nonfarm payrolls.
Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equities strategist at Credit Suisse, does not expect the market to react much if the election outcome is as expected, with Biden winning and Democrats taking the Senate.
“The most likely outcome is already discounted by the market. The best assumption is if you don’t have a big surprise, the market should do nothing,” Golub said, adding the most volatile week could be the one just ending. “This week is the one with the turmoil, and I don’t think the next week is the one where the market’s going to be crazy.”
Golub said investors may be too worried about the election being unresolved and the real issue disturbing the market this past week is the growing spread of the virus.
“There’s no rule we need to declare a victor,” said Golub. “We have four or five weeks. The market may not love that near-term indecision, but the system is set up to allow for it, and as long as things don’t go off the rails, and they really shouldn’t, this concern about a contested election is probably overblown as an investor issue.”
Golub said there’s a greater chance that the winner of the presidency is known before the Senate. “The chances are that we’ll at least know directionally where the power sits, but that could take a little longer and the market may be a little uncomfortable with that,” he said.
Earnings reportsDozens of companies report earnings in the week ahead, and Golub said corporate profits are a bright spot for the market. The third quarter results so far are showing earnings down about 10%, compared to earlier forecasts of more than 20%, according to Refinitiv.
“The reality is the economy is robust. 55% of the market cap of the S&P has higher earnings in 2020 than in 2019. More than half the market is acting like there’s no recession, no downturn,” Golub said.
Golub said both Trump and Biden would push for fiscal stimulus, but while the market is clear on where Trump stands it does not know that much about Biden, if he were to win. “It is going to take some time to get clarity on which of his policy initiatives are going to happen. I don’t believe he’s going to implement these tax increases he’s talking about right away. I think the economy is too frail,” said Golub.
This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:
Major Indices for this past week:
Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:
Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:
Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:
S&P Sectors for the Past Week:
Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:
Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:
Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:
Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:
Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:
November Almanac: Usually a Top Month in Election YearsNovember maintains its status among the top performing months as fourth-quarter cash inflows from institutions drive November to lead the best consecutive three-month span November-January. However, the month has taken hits during bear markets and November 2000, down –22.9% (undecided election and a nascent bear), was NASDAQ’s second worst month on record—only October 1987 was worse.
November begins the “Best Six Months” for the DJIA and S&P 500, and the “Best Eight Months” for NASDAQ. Small caps come into favor during November, but don’t really take off until the last two weeks of the year. November is the number-two DJIA (since 1950), NASDAQ (since 1971) and Russell 2000 (since 1979) month. November is best for S&P 500 (since 1950) and Russell 1000 (since 1979).
Whatever the Outcome, Day Before Election Day Historically BullishLooking back at the last seventeen presidential elections since 1952, the day before Election Day has a clear bullish bias. DJIA and S&P 500 have declined just three times and average gains of 0.51% and 0.44% respectively. NASDAQ and Russell 2000 are slightly weaker, but still bullish. Election Day (or the day after prior to 1980) leans bullish, but with a greater frequency of losses. Incumbent party victories are shaded in light grey.
GDP Bounces BackThe outbreak of COVID-19 and the subsequent lockdowns triggered the largest quarter over-quarter decline in gross domestic product (GDP) since WWII, so perhaps it comes as no surprise that the following quarter tallied the sharpest rebound in that same time period. GDP expanded 33.1% on an annualized basis in the third quarter, ahead of Bloomberg consensus expectations of 32%, fueled by the continued reopening of businesses and reversing much of the economic fallout stemming from COVID-19-related lockdowns.
As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, consumer spending—the largest contributor to GDP in the US and roughly 70% of economic output—rebounded in a powerful fashion in the third quarter.
“GDP rebounded stronger than expected in the third quarter, but the big question on everyone’s mind is whether the economy can remain on firm ground in the fourth quarter and into 2021,” stated LPL Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick. “Barring a new round of fiscal stimulus, it’s likely that growth will taper off in the fourth quarter, but we still don’t expect a double-dip recession.”
Regardless of the state of economic momentum, it is remarkable that GDP is already only about 3.5% away from recovering the entire pandemic losses. The resilience of US consumers has been the top story of the recovery, even with the historic fiscal stimulus.
The surge in growth in the third quarter may also have political implications. As we noted in our recent Weekly Market Commentary: Are the Polls Wrong Again? the average GDP growth in the second and third quarters of election years can have predictive power for who wins the election, with stronger growth favoring incumbents. However, we also point out that recessions close to elections have favored challengers, sending some conflicting market signals heading into Election Day!
As the economy moves forward in the fourth quarter, we’ll continue to monitor real-time data indicators to gauge the impact of rising COVID-19 cases on consumer and business behavior.
Slight Dip In Consumer ConfidenceConsumer Confidence for the month of October was released earlier today and showed a slight dip relative to September. The headline index dropped from 101.3 down to 100.9 compared to expectations for a reading of 102.0. Given the rising number of cases and the upcoming election, it's not too surprising to see confidence come in a bit, so a decline of this magnitude isn't all that concerning. What is notable, though, is that even though Consumer Confidence remains right near post-COVID highs, it hasn't bounced all that much off its lows.
Industrials MalfunctionWith poorly received earnings reports from 3M (MMM) and Caterpillar (CAT) and general weakness overall, Tuesday was just a bad day for the Industrials sector. Just five stocks in the sector were up on the day and the sector overall was down 2.2% compared to the S&P 500 which was down just 0.3%.
All or Nothing Days Back on the RiseThe S&P 500's A/D line for the day (number of advancing stocks minus number of declining stocks) currently stands at about -460, which would be the weakest one-day reading since June. Today's A/D reading also is notable in that it represents the tenth 'all or nothing' day for the S&P 500 since the index's last peak on 9/2. We consider 'all or nothing' days to be those days where the S&P 500's daily A/D reading is either above +400 or below -400. To put the frequency of 'all or nothing' days into perspective, while there have been ten in the last forty trading days, in the forty trading days before that there weren't any.
The chart below shows the percentage of 'all or nothing' days on a 50-day rolling basis. The current pace of 20% is still well off the extraordinary level of 44% we saw back in late April/early May, but it is still relatively high.
Earnings and Economics DivergeThis earnings season, we have frequently mentioned how beat rates have continued to rise relentlessly. From our Earnings Explorer database, our 3-month rolling EPS beat rate currently stands at a record high of 78.19%. That is nearly 20 percentage points higher than the historical average of 59.37%. The sales beat rate is not at a record, but it too is elevated at 69.09% versus the historical average of 56.45%. That means that of the companies that have reported earnings over the past three months, a massive proportion are exceeding consensus sales and EPS estimates.
While earnings beat rates have continued to grind higher, economic data is another story. The Citi Economic Surprise Index basically tracks macroeconomic data and how it comes in relative to forecasts. Higher readings indicate the data is trending stronger than expected and vice versa for negative readings. With the unprecedented shock to macroeconomic data in 2020, this index for the United States plummeted, but that was followed by a sharp rebound to record highs. Although the index for the US remains higher than anything prior to the pandemic, it has been heading lower since the summer. In other words, economic data is still coming in better than expected but is not massively exceeding expectations to the degree it was back in the spring and early summer.
The two charts below compare EPS and revenue beat rates to the Citi Economic Surprise Index. Comparing the two series to the Citi Economic Surprise Index shows that while EPS beat rate has been somewhat connected (correlation: +0.325)) there is very little in the way of correlation between the Surprise Index and the revenue beat rate (+0.084). Given that EPS figures are typically easier to massage than revenues, that was a bit of a surprise. What is notable about the recent decline in the Citi Economic Surprise Index is that in prior periods where it became elevated and then pulled back as it did in (2003, 2009, and 2018), the EPS beat rate typically didn't peak and start to trend lower for another few months.
STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending October 30th, 2020
STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 11.1.20
([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED.)
Monday 11.2.20 Before Market Open:
Monday 11.2.20 After Market Close:
Tuesday 11.3.20 Before Market Open:
Tuesday 11.3.20 After Market Close:
Wednesday 11.4.20 Before Market Open:
Wednesday 11.4.20 After Market Close:
Thursday 11.5.20 Before Market Open:
Thursday 11.5.20 After Market Close:
Friday 11.6.20 Before Market Open:
Friday 11.6.20 After Market Close:
PayPal $186.13PayPal (PYPL) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Monday, November 2, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.95 per share on revenue of $5.40 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.01 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 77% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of approximately $0.76 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 58.33% with revenue increasing by 23.34%. Short interest has increased by 20.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 3.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 21.7% above its 200 day moving average of $152.96. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, October 12, 2020 there was some notable buying of 10,377 contracts of the $210.00 call and 10,021 contracts of the $210.00 put expiring on Friday, December 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 9.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.9% move in recent quarters.
Square, Inc. $154.88Square, Inc. (SQ) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:15 PM ET on Thursday, November 5, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.17 per share on revenue of $1.99 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.23 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 79% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 34.62% with revenue increasing by 57.13%. Short interest has decreased by 5.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 1.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 46.1% above its 200 day moving average of $106.05. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, October 19, 2020 there was some notable buying of 4,158 contracts of the $155.00 put expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 11.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.9% move in recent quarters.
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. $304.69Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:35 AM ET on Thursday, November 5, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.11 per share on revenue of $22.89 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.25 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 77% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 17.88% with revenue increasing by 37.47%. Short interest has increased by 25.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 18.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 29.8% above its 200 day moving average of $234.74. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, October 29, 2020 there was some notable buying of 35,528 contracts of the $420.00 call expiring on Friday, October 15, 2021. Option traders are pricing in a 8.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.2% move in recent quarters.
Clorox Co. $207.25Clorox Co. (CLX) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Monday, November 2, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.34 per share on revenue of $1.74 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.50 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 71% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 47.17% with revenue increasing by 15.54%. Short interest has increased by 20.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 10.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 4.0% above its 200 day moving average of $199.34. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, October 30, 2020 there was some notable buying of 885 contracts of the $187.50 put expiring on Friday, November 6, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 6.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.9% move in recent quarters.
Roku Inc $202.40Roku Inc (ROKU) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Thursday, November 5, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.41 per share on revenue of $354.45 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.30) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 74% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 86.36% with revenue increasing by 35.84%. The stock has drifted higher by 26.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 45.4% above its 200 day moving average of $139.23. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, October 30, 2020 there was some notable buying of 8,002 contracts of the $120.00 put expiring on Friday, January 15, 2021. Option traders are pricing in a 13.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 14.4% move in recent quarters.
Wayfair Inc. $248.03Wayfair Inc. (W) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Tuesday, November 3, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.80 per share on revenue of $3.70 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.41 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 65% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 137.04% with revenue increasing by 60.49%. Short interest has decreased by 14.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 12.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 34.7% above its 200 day moving average of $184.13. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, October 22, 2020 there was some notable buying of 1,001 contracts of the $130.00 put expiring on Friday, January 20, 2023. Option traders are pricing in a 15.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 10.7% move in recent quarters.
Peloton Interactive $110.21Peloton Interactive (PTON) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Thursday, November 5, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.13 per share on revenue of $727.51 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.21 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 75% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of $720.00 million to $730.00 million. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 110.08% with revenue increasing by 219.08%. Short interest has increased by 99.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 12.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 94.6% above its 200 day moving average of $56.63. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, October 30, 2020 there was some notable buying of 5,404 contracts of the $135.00 call expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 13.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 9.8% move in recent quarters.
QUALCOMM Incorporated $123.36QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Wednesday, November 4, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.22 per share on revenue of $5.94 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.27 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 77% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $1.05 to $1.25 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 74.29% with revenue increasing by 23.39%. Short interest has decreased by 10.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 20.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 32.1% above its 200 day moving average of $93.40. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, October 29, 2020 there was some notable buying of 3,990 contracts of the $136.00 call expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 8.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.3% move in recent quarters.
Wingstop Inc. $116.33Wingstop Inc. (WING) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:30 AM ET on Monday, November 2, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.32 per share on revenue of $63.60 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.43 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 50% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 60.00% with revenue increasing by 27.52%. Short interest has decreased by 12.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 17.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 5.9% below its 200 day moving average of $123.60. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 9.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.7% move in recent quarters.
Skyworks Solutions, Inc. $141.29Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (SWKS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Monday, November 2, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.52 per share on revenue of $840.22 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.59 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 70% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of approximately $1.51 per share on revenue of $830.00 million to $850.00 million. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 2.70% with revenue increasing by 1.55%. Short interest has increased by 24.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 7.5% from its open following the earnings release to be 15.4% above its 200 day moving average of $122.43. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, October 30, 2020 there was some notable buying of 2,358 contracts of the $149.00 call expiring on Friday, November 6, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 8.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.8% move in recent quarters.
DISCUSS!What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?
Free Weekend FAQ + Quickstart and Buyer's Guide | August 2018
Below the general Free Weekend FAQ, you will be able to find a shortened version of the New Player's Guide and the Buyer's Guide.
If you have any question, make sure to ask in the comments below as other will likely have similar questions!
Free Weekend FAQAt what times will the Free Weekend be accessible?
PC: August 16th, 05:00 PM UTC - August 19th, 08:00 PM UTCHow to I access the Free Weekend?
PS4: August 16th, 01:00 PM UTC - August 20th, 01:00 PM UTC
XB1: August 16th, 07:01 AM UTC - August 20th, 06:59 AM UTC
Note: click times to convert to your timezone.
PC: Go to your Uplay PC Launcher.Is the game available for preload?
XB1: The Free Weekend will be available to both Xbox Live Gold and Xbox Live Silver users. To join in, visit the Rainbow Six Siege product page on the Xbox Store.
PS4: Join the Free Weekend by visiting the Rainbow Six Siege product page on the PlayStation Network. PlayStation Plus membership is required to play online.
Preload is available for this Free Weekend only on PS4 & PC (Uplay). You can preload the game starting August 14th. Xbox One and PC (Steam) will be available at the start of the Free Weekend.Can I play with friends?
You can play with anyone who already own the game or other Free Weekend players.Will there be special offers during the Free Weekend?
Siege will be available at a discount for a limited time.Will my progress from the Free Weekend carry over if I buy the full game?
PC (Uplay): August 16th - August 27th
PC (Steam): August 16th - August 20th
XB1: August 16th - August 27th
PS4: August 14th - August 25th
All progress will carry over if you upgrade to the full game.
Note: If you purchase the Starter Edition on PC, progress will not transfer over.
New Player's GuideThis is a shortened version of our full New Player's. If you're looking for more detailed information, check out our subreddit wiki!
1. Watch all three tutorials
The tutorial videos provide a quick overview of the important details of the game and provide you with 200 renown (the currency that you will need to unlock things in the game) for each that you watch. They are short, well made, and explain the basics of the gameplay.2. Play through the first 5 or so situations
Focus on learning the controls and paying attention to the map layouts as these are the same maps as multiplayer. Do not stress if you cannot complete all three stars in each situation the first try, you can always come back to them. The difficulty for these situations also does not matter, but normal is suggested so you can get familiar to the controls. You may want to do more than five of the situations, but you likely should not do any less.3. Prepare loadouts for your operators
The base game operators are all unlocked for your use. Scroll down to the "Operators Great for New Players" section to get an overview of loadouts that work well for new players.4. Accept weekly challenges
These are found by first clicking the Daily Challenges tab then clicking "More Challenges" under the Daily Challenge pop up. After you complete the challenge, open the challenge window back up and click "Complete". You must do this to receive your reward.5. Play Terrorist Hunt to try out your Operators
Most of the Terrorist Hunt modes only use Attackers. You can change your Terrorist Hunt matchmaking settings by going to Settings > Matching making preferences and turning off whatever Terrorist Hunt modes you don't want to play.6. Go into Casual
You're likely not going to do very well -- that's completely okay. Siege has a pretty significant learning curve to it, especially during the first few matches. During your early matches you should focus on learning maps, getting familiar with the controls, and understanding the flow of the game. Use your drones often, don't forget to destroy defender cameras if you spot any, try to communicate with your teammates to the best of your ability, learn from your deaths, and don't sweat misplays.Operators Great for New Players
Play through some situations first as they are easy ways to gain renown try out operators' abilities. For new players, set-and-forget abilities or abilities that are less complicated are usually better, as well as guns with lower recoil.
- What makes him good: His sledgehammer ability is probably the easiest to learn and use among the attackers. It helps you memorizing the maps which is very important as map knowledge is crucial in Siege. He has access to a medium damage assault rifle with low recoil and frag grenades. Sledge has long been a top pick for new players with good reason, he is perfect for less experienced players.
- Primary weapon: L85A2 with an optic of your choice, Flash Hider or Compensator, and Vertical Grip
- Secondary weapon: SMG-11 with an optic of your choice, Flash Hider, and Vertical Grip
- Gadget: Frag Grenade
- Quick Tips: His ability makes a very distinct sound so be wary of defenders being alerted to your point of entry. Take time to drone out a room before blindly rushing into it. A lot of new players get into the habit of overusing his ability which makes him easier to counter and eliminate.
- What makes him good: His ability is very easy to understand while also nearly always being needed. Using it against reinforced walls that Bandit has electrified or Mute has jammed is pretty much all you need to do. Both his assault rifles are good, though you will likely find the L85A2 easier to control.
- Primary weapon: L85A2 with an optic of your choice, Flash Hider or Compensator, and Vertical Grip
- Secondary weapon: P226 MK 25 with Muzzle Break
- Gadget: Up to you but Breaching Charges are generally recommended for newer players as Claymores require map knowledge to use effectively
- Quick Tips: Be very careful to not die before using the EMP grenades to destroy Mute's Signal Disruptors, Bandit's Shock Wires or any other gadgets and stick with either Hibana or Thermite so you can be sure to use your gadget in the right spot. Learning the trajectory and when it is safe to throw the EMP is key to mastering Thatcher.
- What makes her good: Her ability is very easy to use (just aim it at a destructible surface), both of her guns are strong, and she is a max speed operator making her well rounded and good for new players.
- Primary weapon: G36C with an optic of your choice, Flash Hider or Compensator, and Vertical Grip
- Secondary weapon: 5.7 USG with Muzzle Break
- Gadget: Stun Grenade
- Quick Tips: Do not use her ability on outside facing barricades, as just shooting the barricades with her assault rifle will destroy them and preserve her ability. Ash does not have a "noob-tube". While her ability does some damage to operators, it is not anywhere close to an AOE instant death machine like they are in other games. Avoid trying to kill operators with it until you're more familiar with it's damage output.
- What makes him good: His ability is the easiest to use among the Defenders as well as almost always being useful, just put down your armor plates and you're done. His MP5 is low recoil and easy to use and he has max armor. Long considered the best Defender for new players because you still provide value to your team even if you die early.
- Primary weapon: MP5 with an optic of your choice, Flash Hider, and Vertical Grip
- Secondary weapon: P9 with Muzzle Break
- Gadget: Up to you, pay attention to your team's composition when choosing
- Quick Tips: Start every round by placing the armor immediately, preferably not next to a wall or object. Take a step back after placing his armor before putting it on, as it allows more defenders to access it at once. As a 3 armor operator, it is generally recommended to stay near the objective due to the slow movement speed.
- What makes him good: His ability takes a little more finesse than other top picks for new players but overall he still is very easy to use while being a key defender. His SMG has low recoil.
- Primary weapon: MP5K with an optic of your choice and Flash Hider or Compensator
- Secondary weapon: P226 MK 25 with Muzzle Break
- Gadget: Nitro Cell
- Quick Tips: Learn which walls must be reinforced for the objective. Walls close to the objective and walls which face the outside of the building near the objective are usually the most important to jam. Jamming walls should take priority over stopping drones. Placing a single jammer in the middle of two walls will jam both walls.
- What makes him good: Similar to Rook, but his ability is often a little less useful for newer players. He features a play style similar to Rook with similar guns.
- Primary weapon: MP5 with an optic of your choice, Flash Hider, and Vertical Grip
- Secondary weapon: P9 with Muzzle Break
- Gadget: Barbed Wire
- Quick Tips: Keep an eye on friendlies health at all times, and heal friendlies which are knocked down or have taken damage. His ability can overheal people to above 100 health as well, which can be useful. Keep in mind that his ability can be self-applied at any time to heal himself and also when he is downed to revive himself. As a 3 armor operator, it is generally recommended to stay near the objective due to the slow movement speed.
- Avoided getting frustrated. Angry players make bad decisions that only lead to more tilting. If you're mad, take a break from multiplayer and do some Terrorist Hunt mission or just have a breather.
- Stick with your team while learning the maps, especially if you're an Attacker.
- Use your microphone to communicate. You can find the name of the room you're in next to the compass at the bottom of the screen, most players will be familiar with those.
- Take time to learn all Operators' names and their abilities. It's something you can do outside the game to get better. Here is a list of all Operators, their abilities, and important notes about them.
- Using a headset or headphones is recommended. Operators are loud and easy to hear when they are moving, knowing where they're coming from is essential. If you're confused as to where sound is coming from, check out this quick guide by the game's audio director.
- The hostage is not invulnerable. If you shoot too many times or if explosives go off too close, it will die and you will cost your team the round. Be very careful with Fuze, grenades, and nitro cells especially.
- Do not reinforce between the two bombs on Defense when playing the Bomb game mode, it actually makes it easier for Attackers to play the defuser and win the round.
- Don't be afraid to ask people questions if you're confused. Casual is there to learn the game and most people will help.
- Play with friends or a playgroup whenever possible. It helps with the frustration of dying and learning the game more quickly.
Buyer's GuideHow do seasons and Operations work?
Each year is divided into four seasons with each season being roughly 3 months long. Each season introduces a new Operation which includes two new Operators, a new or reworked map, and new cosmetic items. At the start of each season, ranks reset and placements must be completed again. Year 3 Pass owners get the new Operators the when the Operation starts while everyone else will have to wait a week to purchase them for 25,000 Renown or 600 R6 Credits.The current Operation is Para Bellum which is the second season of Year 3 (Y3S2).What is included in the Year 3 Pass?
Here's an image of what you will get in the Year 3 PassIs the Year 3 Pass mandatory for a full Siege experience?
- All 8 Year 3 Operators at no additional cost as they are launched
- One-week early access to the new Operators as they are launched
- 600 R6 Credits
- Meteorite R6 Weapon Charm
- 8 new headgears for the new Operators (as they are added)
- 8 new uniforms (as they are added)
- 5% Renown bonus (expires January 31st, 2019)
- 10% Store discount on purchases with Renown or R6 Credits (expires January 31st, 2019)
- 2 extra slots to hold daily challenges (expires Jan 31st, 2019)
- +0.3% Alpha Pack boost
Here's an image of the Year 3 roadmap for an overview of the upcoming (and past) content.
No, all content is still accessible without it. The main reason to buy the Year 3 Pass is the free access to new Operators instead of saving up to buy them with Renown.Does the Year 3 Pass also include Year 1 and Year 2 Operators?
No. They can either be bought with Renown or R6 Credits.How do I buy new maps?
Maps are completely free and everyone will have access to them at the same time.How can I get all the Operators from Year 1 or Year 2?
Year 1 and Year 2 Operators can be bought in separate bundles for 2400 R6 Credits each ($20 USD, discounts when buying larger amounts). Each bundle includes the respective eight Operators from that Year.Alternatively, you can buy each Operator for 25,000 Renown (approximately 30 hours of game time) or 600 R6 Credits ($5 USD, discounts when buying larger amounts).Does it matter where I buy the game from (Steam/Uplay)? PC only
No. For PC, all purchasers through Steam/Uplay will still all play against each other. You must install and run Uplay no matter where you buy the game from on PC.Can I buy the Year 3 pass (or other DLC) from Steam if I own the game through UPlay? PC only
No, if you own the game through Uplay, you cannot buy any DLC from Steam as it will not provide you with a key for the DLC.
Information about the Game EditionsComparison chart for the different editions
- A cheaper version of Siege aimed at people shorter on cash than time
- Dedicated FAQ for the Starter Edition with more information
- Only available on PC
- Always consider buying the Standard Edition over the Starter Edition, the grind in the Starter Edition should not be underestimated
- Buying the starter edition will remove your progress on Operator unlocks from any Free Weekend
- Comes with only six of the base operators unlocked, attachments are free
- The normal base game. This is the edition that all free weekend players are using.
- Comes with all 20 original Operators unlocked, attachments are free
- Product Description Image
- The Standard Edition + 600 R6 Credits ($5 USD) and 10 Outbreak Packs (cosmetic loot boxes for the last season, $25 USD (estimated))
- Note: You will still receive 10 Outbreak Packs even if the Outbreak Event is already over.
- Product Description Image
- The Advanced Edition + Year 3 Pass (Year 3 pass regularly priced at $30 USD, more information above)
- Product description image
- Includes the Gold Edition (Year 3) + all 8 of the Year 1 Operators (Buck, Frost, Valkyrie, Blackbeard, Caveira, Capitão, Hibana, and Echo) + all 8 of the Year 2 Operators (Mira, Jackal, Ying, Lesion, Ela, Zofia, Vigil, and Dokkaebi)
TeamfindingLooking for people to group up and play with or maybe just talk about Siege and ask questions? Come join the official Rainbow Six: Siege Discord!
There are dedicated channels for helping new players (training-ground), serious Siege talk (serious game discussion), looking-for-group-channels for each region and platform, as well as channels to stay up to date on Siege news.